Based on history, there is a .60 probability of a positive net present value when competitors do not respond to our introduction of a new product.

Based on history, there is a .60 probability of a positive net present value when competitors do not respond to our introduction of a new product. Based on this same history, if competitors do respond, there is a .20 probability of a positive net present value. After studying history and the financial capabilities of our competitors going forward we determine that there is a .45 probability that competitors will respond. What is the probability of a positive net present value?